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Category Archives: Stats
Case Shiller Home Price Index Big Drop
The Case Shiller Home Price Index MoM just had its biggest drop since 2012. Hopefully, it won’t drop like it did in 2008.
Statistics Provided to Hawaii News Now
Hawaii News Now asked me to get some custom statistics for their 10 pm top story about the latest Fed rate hike.
I was able to pull together some interesting stats that show a huge drop in the sold over asking by month and a huge increase by month in sellers dropping their price.
I posted the screen clips, and you can view the full video at https://www.hawaiinewsnow.com/2022/09/22/latest-fed-rate-hike-may-also-increase-jitters-hawaiis-real-estate-market/
Mortgage Rates Hit 6% For the First Time Since 2008. Double What It Was a Year Ago.
“The 30-year fixed mortgage rate hit the six percent mark for the first time since 2008 – rising to 6.01 percent – which is essentially double what it was a year ago,” MBA Associate Vice President of Economic and Industry Forecasting Joel Kan said in a news release.
Last 365 Days Mortgage Rates
August Housing Stats
More than 300 single-family homes and more than 500 condos sold in August, which is near pre-pandemic annual average closed sales per month for single-family homes and above average for condos. Median sales prices remained on pace with recent months, with August’s single-family home median sales price rising 7.2% year-over-year to $1,125,500 and the condo median sales price marking a nominal decline of 0.3% to $498,500.
“As market activity continues to slow with the rise in interest rates, it’s important for buyers to remember that homeownership is still possible,” said Chad Takesue, president of the Honolulu Board of REALTORS®. “More than 250 properties on O‘ahu, most of which were condos, sold for under $500,000 last month.”
While new listings fell 17.2% for single-family homes and 15.7% for condos, active inventory increased 43.3% for single-family homes and 12.9% for condos, though this lags behind pre-pandemic levels. A larger share of new listings remained active at the end of the month – 61% compared to 46% last August for single-family homes and 59% compared to 48% for condos – which is another indication of the cooling market. In both markets, properties that sold in August were on the market for a median of 13 days.
Quotes in Hawaii Business Magazine About Prices Dropping
This article in Hawaii Business Magazine about prices dropping uses some quotes and stats I provided.
Sales Drop Almost 23% In July
We are definitely feeling the 23% drop in sales in both Single Family and Condos. It is not as easy for sellers now.
The Last Downturn Was 2008. Even COVID Did Not Crash the Market.
This is an interesting chart that shows even the COVID downturn was not too bad, and right after that, the market increased dramatically. You can see we have not had any serious downturns since the 2008 crash.
Prices Up, Sale Volume Down
“The rapid rise in interest rates is causing buyers to change tack and reevaluate their budgets and what they’re looking for in a home,” said Chad Takesue, president of the Honolulu Board of REALTORS®. “New listings are spending more time on the market compared to the frenzy in activity we witnessed last year. Sellers are also adjusting their strategies in response to market conditions. Over the past several months, we’re seeing more sellers decrease the asking price for their properties for single-family homes and condos,” Takesue added.